Editor's Choice
Global Inflation Tracker Q1 2024: Divergent Trends Persist Amid Lower Overall Inflation
Justinas Liuima
Global inflationary pressures are forecast to moderate further in 2024. Under the baseline scenario, global inflation is forecast to stand at 5.4% in 2024 and trend down further to 3.6% in 2025. Lower energy prices, slower consumption growth and normalisation of manufactured goods prices are contributing to lower inflationary pressures.
Commodity Market Outlook Q1 2024: High Uncertainty Amid Soft Economic Outlook and Geopolitical Risks
Aleksandra Svidler
This year’s commodity market outlook remains highly uncertain. As consumers and businesses continue to grapple with lingering cost pressures and high interest rates, subdued global economic activity is set to translate into softer commodity demand.
Global Economic Outlook: Q1 2024
Maxim Hofer
In 2024, the global economy is expected to register slowing growth for the second consecutive year. This is primarily due to the dampening effect of high interest rates in most major economies globally, in addition to weakening growth in China, the world’s second largest economy. Yet, this comes after global growth consistently outperformed expectations in 2023, withstanding numerous headwinds, especially ongoing and widening geopolitical tensions.
Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates: Outlook and Impacts on Businesses and Consumers
Lan Ha
The era of high interest rates is expected to stay for some time, as persisting price pressures and geopolitical risks continue to challenge central banks in key economies in bring inflation back to their targets. As businesses and households increasingly feel the financial pressure coming from high interest rates, they will further adjust their spending and borrowing behaviour.
Shipping Disruptions: Impact on Global Supply Chains and Economies
Justinas Liuima
Global supply chains continue to face additional pressures in 2024 due to security crisis in the Red Sea. Global shipping companies and their clients avoid trade route via Suez Canal and instead are rerouting vessels round the Cape of Good Hope. This impacts around 11% of the global trade and poses the largest threat for the Asia-Europe shipping routes.
Davos 2024: Responding to Global Changes with Resilience and Sustainability
Euromonitor International
This year's World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland revolves around the pivotal theme of “Rebuilding Trust” amidst a period of "permacrisis" – a prolonged era marked by uncertainty, stemming from the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Euromonitor International has identified two vital responses to today's transformed world, with a summary of key content focussing on resilience and sustainability.