Global inflationary pressures are forecast to moderate further in 2024. Under the baseline scenario, global inflation is forecast to stand at 5.4% in 2024 and trend down further to 3.6% in 2025. Lower energy prices, slower consumption growth and normalisation of manufactured goods prices are contributing to lower inflationary pressures.
The share of private label sales in Latin America remains far below that of developed regions such as Western Europe and North America, indicating there is further opportunity for growth. Euromonitor International has examined the main reasons for the growth of private label in Latin America.
This year’s commodity market outlook remains highly uncertain. As consumers and businesses continue to grapple with lingering cost pressures and high interest rates, subdued global economic activity is set to translate into softer commodity demand.
With US demand softening and domestic production inflation still a factor, the 2023-2024 bankruptcies and layoffs in the furniture sector are warning flags that geographic exposure to cost is strategically existential. Attention here is once again focusing on production locations, in the face of some harsh numbers.
Find the latest Q1 projections for GDP growth and inflation in 2024 to help your strategic planning.
In 2024, the global economy is expected to register slowing growth for the second consecutive year. This is primarily due to the dampening effect of high interest rates in most major economies globally, in addition to weakening growth in China, the world’s second largest economy. Yet, this comes after global growth consistently outperformed expectations in 2023, withstanding numerous headwinds, especially ongoing and widening geopolitical tensions.
The era of high interest rates is expected to stay for some time, as persisting price pressures and geopolitical risks continue to challenge central banks in key economies in bring inflation back to their targets. As businesses and households increasingly feel the financial pressure coming from high interest rates, they will further adjust their spending and borrowing behaviour.
In 2024, economies and cities across many parts of the world will see a subdued growth environment, with higher-for-longer interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties weighing on consumption, investment, manufacturing and trade.
As inflation begins to cool down worldwide due to slower economic growth, stricter monetary policies of banks and supply chain improvements, Japanese consumers are still struggling to deal with the country’s inflationary environment as households are dealing with unfamiliar rises in consumer goods prices while not seeing wages keep pace.